2026-27 Upper Deck Series 1: what's worth chasing
Release Day Break Guide · released October 7, 2026
Before you buy a spot in a Series 1 break, know which teams and players carry the value. Porter Martone, Sidney Crosby and James Hagens top the list. Here's what a box gives you, what a fair spot costs, and the cards everyone is chasing.
What's in a hobby box
- 6 Young Guns Rookie Cards
- 1 #'d Card, Non #’d Short Print OR Printing Plate
- 1 Base Outburst Silver Parallel
- 1 Base Clear Cut Parallel, UD Canvas Black & White Parallel OR Base Variation
- 4 UD Canvas Inserts
- 4 Stencils Inserts
- 1 Blue Dazzlers Insert
- 8 Additional Inserts (Fan Faves, Repping AND/OR Vibe Check)
- 8 Additional Inserts (Debut Dates, Here We Go!, Sizzle Reel AND/OR UD Portraits)
- 2 Insert Speckle Parallels
Pick your team: what a spot is worth
In a typical 12-box break at CA$160 a box ($1,920 in all), a team spot is worth its share of everything worth pulling. Use these as your ceiling.
| Team | Share | Fair spot | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flyers | 9.2% | $177 |
| 2 | Penguins | 7.8% | $149 |
| 3 | Blackhawks | 6.8% | $131 |
| 4 | Capitals | 4.7% | $91 |
| 5 | Bruins | 4.5% | $86 |
| 6 | Maple Leafs | 4.5% | $86 |
| 7 | Oilers | 4.3% | $84 |
| 8 | Sharks | 4.0% | $77 |
| 9 | Canadiens | 3.7% | $72 |
| 10 | Panthers | 3.6% | $70 |
| 11 | Islanders | 3.4% | $66 |
| 12 | Sabres | 3.0% | $58 |
An average team is worth $60 (the break divided by 32). A team priced well above its fair spot is paying for the name.
Pick your player: the top 15
| Player | Team | Share | Fair spot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porter Martone RC | Flyers | 7.1% | $136 |
| 2 | Sidney Crosby XRC | Penguins | 6.1% | $118 |
| 3 | James Hagens RC | Bruins | 3.5% | $66 |
| 4 | Connor McDavid | Oilers | 3.1% | $59 |
| 5 | Connor Bedard | Blackhawks | 2.8% | $54 |
| 6 | Macklin Celebrini | Sharks | 2.6% | $50 |
| 7 | Quinn Hughes XRC | Wild | 2.4% | $46 |
| 8 | Anton Frondell RC | Blackhawks | 2.3% | $44 |
| 9 | Cole Hutson RC | Capitals | 2.2% | $42 |
| 10 | Auston Matthews | Maple Leafs | 2.1% | $41 |
| 11 | Konsta Helenius RC | Sabres | 2.0% | $38 |
| 12 | Ilya Protas RC | Capitals | 1.5% | $28 |
| 13 | Victor Eklund RC | Islanders | 1.4% | $27 |
| 14 | Cale Makar | Avalanche | 1.4% | $27 |
| 15 | Matthew Schaefer | Islanders | 1.3% | $24 |
Rookies to watch
Porter Martone (Flyers), Sidney Crosby (Penguins), James Hagens (Bruins), Quinn Hughes (Wild), Anton Frondell (Blackhawks). Rookie cards carry a lot of a break's value, so their teams usually price high. Check the share before you pay up.
Three things before you buy a spot
- Compare the price with the fair spot. Under it is a good buy. Well over it, you're paying for the name.
- Know the random price. In Team random, a spot in this example break is worth about $60 on average. Use it as your stop price in a $1-start auction.
- Check the real break. Box counts and prices change from breaker to breaker. Paste the spot list into ChaseIQ and every spot gets a verdict in seconds.
chaseiq.io · Values are estimates from what the cards sell for, not financial advice.