2025-26 Upper Deck Stature: what's worth chasing
Release Day Break Guide · released October 28, 2026
Before you buy a spot in a Stature break, know which teams and players carry the value. Connor McDavid, Matthew Schaefer and Alex Ovechkin top the list. Here's what a box gives you, what a fair spot costs, and the cards everyone is chasing.
What's in a hobby box
- 1 Hit (Autograph, Relic or Auto Relic)
- 2 #'d Parallels
- 1 #'d Base Rookie or Base Legend
- 1 Base Veteran
Pick your team: what a spot is worth
In a typical 12-box break at CA$425 a box ($5,100 in all), a team spot is worth its share of everything worth pulling. Use these as your ceiling.
| Team | Share | Fair spot | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oilers | 16.5% | $842 |
| 2 | Blackhawks | 9.3% | $476 |
| 3 | Islanders | 8.6% | $437 |
| 4 | Capitals | 8.1% | $414 |
| 5 | Canadiens | 8.0% | $408 |
| 6 | Sharks | 7.7% | $391 |
| 7 | Penguins | 6.7% | $339 |
| 8 | Avalanche | 4.1% | $209 |
| 9 | Maple Leafs | 3.4% | $171 |
| 10 | Ducks | 3.3% | $170 |
| 11 | Rangers | 2.6% | $133 |
| 12 | Blues | 2.1% | $107 |
An average team is worth $159 (the break divided by 32). A team priced well above its fair spot is paying for the name.
Pick your player: the top 15
| Player | Team | Share | Fair spot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connor McDavid | Oilers | 9.8% | $499 |
| 2 | Matthew Schaefer RC | Islanders | 6.9% | $354 |
| 3 | Alex Ovechkin | Capitals | 6.7% | $341 |
| 4 | Wayne Gretzky | Oilers | 5.3% | $269 |
| 5 | Connor Bedard | Blackhawks | 5.1% | $262 |
| 6 | Ivan Demidov RC | Canadiens | 4.7% | $237 |
| 7 | Mario Lemieux | Penguins | 3.0% | $155 |
| 8 | Macklin Celebrini | Sharks | 2.7% | $140 |
| 9 | Cale Makar | Avalanche | 2.7% | $138 |
| 10 | Beckett Sennecke RC | Ducks | 2.6% | $133 |
| 11 | Michael Misa RC | Sharks | 2.2% | $110 |
| 12 | Will Smith XRC | Sharks | 1.8% | $94 |
| 13 | Sidney Crosby | Penguins | 1.8% | $93 |
| 14 | Auston Matthews | Maple Leafs | 1.7% | $85 |
| 15 | Frank Nazar XRC | Blackhawks | 1.2% | $64 |
The cards to chase
| Set | Numbered | Cards |
|---|---|---|
| Black Memorabilia Parallel - Rookies AutoAuto | /1 | 29 |
| Black Memorabilia Parallel - AutoAuto | /1 | 26 |
| Black Memorabilia Parallel - Legends AutoAuto | /1 | 12 |
| Black Memorabilia ParallelRelic | /1 | 10 |
| 2022-23 Update - Splendid Skaters Auto Patch Purple ParallelAuto | /1 | 10 |
| 2023-24 Update - Black Memorabilia Parallel - AutoAuto | /1 | 7 |
| 2022-23 Update - Wunderkind Auto Patch Purple ParallelAuto | /1 | 6 |
| 2024-25 Update - Black Memorabilia Parallel - Rookies AutoAuto | /1 | 6 |
Rookies to watch
Matthew Schaefer (Islanders), Ivan Demidov (Canadiens), Beckett Sennecke (Ducks), Michael Misa (Sharks), Will Smith (Sharks). Rookie cards carry a lot of a break's value, so their teams usually price high. Check the share before you pay up.
Three things before you buy a spot
- Compare the price with the fair spot. Under it is a good buy. Well over it, you're paying for the name.
- Know the random price. In Team random, a spot in this example break is worth about $159 on average. Use it as your stop price in a $1-start auction.
- Check the real break. Box counts and prices change from breaker to breaker. Paste the spot list into ChaseIQ and every spot gets a verdict in seconds.
chaseiq.io · Values are estimates from what the cards sell for, not financial advice.